Thursday, September 18, 2014
FAIRFIELD-SUISUN, CALIFORNIA
99 CENTS

Calif. electorate gets even bluer

walters column sig

By
From page A8 | November 13, 2012 |

This wasn’t your father’s electorate, much less your grandfather’s.

Even as California’s white population declined sharply in the last generation to well below 50 percent, middle-age Anglo homeowners still dominated California’s elections. And this widening characteristic gap between voters and the overall population contributed to chronic political gridlock.

But Tuesday’s election saw the emergence of a much different demographic profile that, if it continues, permanently changes assumptions about our politics.

California’s new electorate, derived from exit polling data, is multiracial, younger, more liberal, not very religious and less likely to be married with children.

The Field Poll, California’s most venerable survey, had calculated in its last pre-election poll that Tuesday’s voters would be 70-plus percent white and mostly 50-plus years old – just about what it’s been in recent elections.

But an exit poll conducted for a consortium of news organizations found them to be just 54 percent white and just 36 percent 50 years or older.

A late-blooming surge of voter registrations that was largely young and Democratic hinted at the Election Day shift. It happened so late and so suddenly, thanks to a new Internet registration system, that Field and other pollsters could not adjust their survey samples.

Among its other effects, the registration surge dropped the Republican share to below 30 percent for the first time in the state’s history – a decline also reflected in the election, when just 28 percent of those casting ballots were self-described Republicans, about as many as saw themselves as independents.

The result was more-than-expected Democratic victories in key legislative and congressional races and in ballot measure contests, including passage of Gov. Jerry Brown’s tax measure.

Brown had campaigned extensively on college campuses, warning students of tuition increases and other impacts should the measure fail, and it fueled the registration drive.

Were this year’s new voters to continue their political participation, they would, it appears, dye California’s politics an even deeper and more permanent shade of blue.

But voter turnout in nonpresidential elections is usually much lower, and younger voters, especially nonwhites, have not had high participation levels in past years.

Thus, the intensity of what happened in California this year may fade in future elections, but there’s no doubt that the long reign of older white voters is coming to an end and that voters in future elections will more closely approximate the state’s diverse socioeconomic and demographic makeup.

Whatever that trend bodes for the state, it nevertheless is a fascinating and historic phenomenon.

Dan Walters is a columnist for the Sacramento Bee. Reach him at dwalters@sacbee.com.

LEAVE A COMMENT

Discussion | 13 comments

The Daily Republic does not necessarily condone the comments here, nor does it review every post. Read our full policy

  • jafNovember 13, 2012 - 6:33 am

    The notion that anyone who is eligible to vote should vote is ridiculous and frightening to those of us who actually pay attention to the news. What does a typical college student who is caught up with his/her studies and partying understand about issues like Benghazzi or for that matter, the national debt? And, please don't tell me that I am being mean for pointing this out. The truth sometimes hurts, but it's still the truth. Typically, the college kids don't pay much in taxes and have generous hearts that bleed with empathy for those less fortunate than themselves. They can't really understand the bigger picture because they don't have much life experience to speak of. Consequently, any of the liberals' schemes to give away huge amounts of food stamps, allow illegals to stay in the country, etc., don't impact them economically yet, so they are all for voting/keeping these Dems. into/in office. Kids (and unfortunately too many older women) don't usually understand that there isn't really a "war on women" just because Republicans think of abortion as murder and want to limit its use as birth control, or that girls/women who are old enough to have sex should be old enough to pay for their own contraception (horrors!) Consequently, our beautiful state, under a solidly Democratic rule, is very soon to be Greece. Come to think of it, a nice riot on a warm evening complaining about how the state isn't able to continue its free stuff for the votes, might be just the thing to take your mind off of your studies!

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • CD BrooksNovember 13, 2012 - 6:42 am

    That is a pathetic condemnation of our youth. You far right thinking is precisely why your party has failed.

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • CD BrooksNovember 13, 2012 - 7:08 am

    ...and furthermore jaf, if you paid attention to what was really going on around the country, you'd have a better understanding of your party politics and their inevitable loss. The majority spoke and both sides need to work together, that is what Americans want. The GOP must regroup and step up to this century's way of thinking or elections in 2014 will destroy them.

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • Tom ChalkNovember 13, 2012 - 8:16 pm

    In 59 Philadelphia precincts: Obama--19,605 votes to Romney's 0! Voter Fraud, anyone? Only the GOP is guilty of that, right?

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • Joe PikeyNovember 13, 2012 - 8:27 pm

    I heard in Pittsburgh there was one vote for Romney, two if you count his dog (which they did)...

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • Danny BuntinNovember 13, 2012 - 9:25 pm

    ::::@Tom: It may look amazing, when told in a sarcastic manner from a right-wing publication, that brings you no context to the subject. After a quick google, I found a link that looked somewhat legitimate, because most of the links I found, turned out to be part of the echo chamber. Here is a neat little fact - "In a city with 1,687 of the ward subsets known as divisions, each with hundreds of voters, 59 is about 3.5 percent of the total." Does not sound so amazing now, does it Tom.

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • rlw895November 13, 2012 - 9:25 pm

    Tom: That seems pretty unlikely. What's your source, and did you fact-check it?

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • Tom ChalkNovember 14, 2012 - 11:34 am

    RLW: By now you have probably discovered that I am not the only one astounded by the Philly votes.. Thank you for pointing out to Mr. Buntin my main point (about the unlikliness of such a result). His response seems to be irrelevant to what I was trying to say, while not refuting my numbers, per se.

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • CD BrooksNovember 14, 2012 - 1:44 pm

    TC, I just did a quick GOOGLE search that led to another and apparently what happened in PA is not unprecedented. In 2008 at some Chicago and Atlanta precincts McCain got zero votes. The information also says these are all black areas being targeted and many feel that is an accurate representation. I don’t know but these stories usually turn out to have a reasonable explanation.

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • Tom ChalkNovember 14, 2012 - 1:55 pm

    CD: Yes, I saw that as well. Probably not rocket science to figure out how it could be possible in those areas. But, c'mon man! Surely some inattentive soul must have mistakenly hit the wrong button somewhere along the way--just one? What happened to his/her vote? Hahahaha!

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • Danny BuntinNovember 13, 2012 - 10:39 am

    In a nut shell, "If you do not agree with me, you should not be allowed to vote". Benghazzi, give me a break.

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • rlw895November 13, 2012 - 9:19 pm

    I see you have a complaint about our system of universal sufferage, jaf. But what do you propose? Only propertied white males who weren't distracted by education get to vote? Seriously, what would you do? Raise the voting age? Give a voter qualification test? Each idea will have its advantages and disadvantages. There is no perfect answer. Welcome to messy democracy.

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • Danny BuntinNovember 13, 2012 - 9:35 pm

    @rlw895: jaf is not interested in playing by the rules of our Republic anymore. Those rules worked for years, but now the rules need to change because the outcomes are not to his liking. What, are we going to keep changing the rules until jaf gets the results he wants. Like a boy at school on break with his friend playing RockPaperScissors "Best of three, no best of five, wait - best of seven."

    Reply | Report abusive comment
.

Solano News

 
Theatre DeVille in Vacaville closes

By Barry Eberling | From Page: A1, 15 Comments | Gallery

 
Focus on school attendance now, always

By Mayrene Bates | From Page: A2

 
Suisun City Senior Center seeks holiday donations

By Susan Hiland | From Page: A3

Lunafest returns to Fairfield in November

By Susan Hiland | From Page: A3

 
Pepperbelly’s for sale

By Ryan McCarthy | From Page: A3, 3 Comments

Jury selection begins in 2011 Fairfield murder trial

By Jess Sullivan | From Page: A3

 
Seniors get help at Kroc Center health fair

By Barry Eberling | From Page: A3 | Gallery

Drug court success stories tell their tales

By Jess Sullivan | From Page: A3 | Gallery

 
Fairfield police log: Sept. 16, 2014

By Susan Hiland | From Page: A10

 
Suisun City police log: Sept. 16, 2014

By Susan Hiland | From Page: A10

Weather for Sept. 18, 2014

By Daily Republic | From Page: B10

 
.

US / World

Emotions mount on final day of Scottish campaign

By The Associated Press | From Page: A1

 
More than 2,000 homes threatened in California fire

By The Associated Press | From Page: A4, 1 Comment

Maps provide early warning of California fire risk

By The Associated Press | From Page: A4

 
NASA’s Maven spacecraft reaches Mars this weekend

By The Associated Press | From Page: A5

US military role in Iraq raises combat questions

By The Associated Press | From Page: A5

 
Police: Ambush suspect was military re-enactor

By The Associated Press | From Page: A5, 1 Comment | Gallery

House grudgingly approves arms for Syrian rebels

By The Associated Press | From Page: A5, 2 Comments

 
Ex-VA doctor: Phoenix report a ‘whitewash’

By The Associated Press | From Page: A5, 1 Comment

School district police stock up free military gear

By The Associated Press | From Page: A5, 3 Comments | Gallery

 
Doctor says Toronto Mayor Rob Ford has cancer

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6

US scientist: Ebola unlikely to become airborne

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6

 
Liberia president praises US for Ebola help pledge

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6

Obama reaffirms opposition to US combat in Iraq

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6, 1 Comment

 
AP Interview: Iraq premier says no foreign troops

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6, 1 Comment

.

Opinion

 
Homeless find welcome in Vallejo

By Letter to the Editor | From Page: A7, 7 Comments

 
Give new crime report a chance

By Kelvin Wade | From Page: A7, 16 Comments

 
.

Living

Today in History: Sept. 18, 2014

By The Associated Press | From Page: A2

 
Community Calendar: Sept. 18, 2014

By Susan Hiland | From Page: A2

Horoscopes: Sept. 18, 2014

By Holiday Mathis | From Page: A9

 
My brother fails to make an effort to when it comes to my kids

By Kathy Mitchell and Marcy Sugar | From Page: A9

.

Entertainment

TVGrid

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

 
U2 returns to iTunes Top 100 — 26 times

By Los Angeles Times | From Page: B4, 1 Comment

Directors Guild finds TV diversity hiring stalled

By The Associated Press | From Page: B4

 
.

Sports

Rodriguez gets 1st MEL soccer win since return to league

By Daily Republic staff | From Page: B1

 
Giants snap tie in 9th, beat Arizona to narrow gap in West to 2

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

 
49ers’ Kaepernick fined for inappropriate language

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1, 4 Comments | Gallery

Panthers remove DE Greg Hardy from active roster

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

 
Barry Bonds appeal heads back to court

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

NFL, union agree to new drug policy, HGH testing

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

 
Raiders rookie Derek Carr focuses on job at hand

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2 | Gallery

Pegulas’ bid to buy Bills OK’d by NFL committee

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

 
FSU benches Winston for 1st half of Clemson game

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

Umpire West suspended 1 game for grabbing jersey

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

 
After making ‘mistake,’ Vikings bench RB Peterson

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

Sharks sign D Braun to 5-year, $19 M extension

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

 
Rockets acquire Jason Terry, picks from Kings

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

.

Business

Wells Fargo pays $290,000 in sex harassment case

By The Associated Press | From Page: B5

 
Fed signals plan to keep key rate at record low

By The Associated Press | From Page: B5

Brown signs ride-sharing insurance legislation

By The Associated Press | From Page: B5

 
US homebuilder confidence soars in September

By The Associated Press | From Page: B5

Anthem, hospitals join to offer new insurance plan

By The Associated Press | From Page: B5

 
Drag queens dress down Facebook over names

By The Associated Press | From Page: B5, 1 Comment

.

Obituaries

Margaret King

By Susan Hiland | From Page: A4

 
.

Comics

Baldo

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

 
Get Fuzzy

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

For Better or Worse

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

 
B.C.

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

Garfield

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

 
Frank and Ernest

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

Rose is Rose

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

 
Pickles

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

Baby Blues

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

 
Beetle Bailey

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

Peanuts

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

 
Blondie

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

Zits

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

 
Dilbert

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

Wizard of Id

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

 
Sally Forth

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

Sudoku

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A9

 
Bridge

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A9

Crossword

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A9

 
Cryptoquote

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A9

Word Sleuth

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A9