Tuesday, January 27, 2015
FAIRFIELD-SUISUN, CALIFORNIA
99 CENTS

Calif. electorate gets even bluer

walters column sig

By
From page A8 | November 13, 2012 |

This wasn’t your father’s electorate, much less your grandfather’s.

Even as California’s white population declined sharply in the last generation to well below 50 percent, middle-age Anglo homeowners still dominated California’s elections. And this widening characteristic gap between voters and the overall population contributed to chronic political gridlock.

But Tuesday’s election saw the emergence of a much different demographic profile that, if it continues, permanently changes assumptions about our politics.

California’s new electorate, derived from exit polling data, is multiracial, younger, more liberal, not very religious and less likely to be married with children.

The Field Poll, California’s most venerable survey, had calculated in its last pre-election poll that Tuesday’s voters would be 70-plus percent white and mostly 50-plus years old – just about what it’s been in recent elections.

But an exit poll conducted for a consortium of news organizations found them to be just 54 percent white and just 36 percent 50 years or older.

A late-blooming surge of voter registrations that was largely young and Democratic hinted at the Election Day shift. It happened so late and so suddenly, thanks to a new Internet registration system, that Field and other pollsters could not adjust their survey samples.

Among its other effects, the registration surge dropped the Republican share to below 30 percent for the first time in the state’s history – a decline also reflected in the election, when just 28 percent of those casting ballots were self-described Republicans, about as many as saw themselves as independents.

The result was more-than-expected Democratic victories in key legislative and congressional races and in ballot measure contests, including passage of Gov. Jerry Brown’s tax measure.

Brown had campaigned extensively on college campuses, warning students of tuition increases and other impacts should the measure fail, and it fueled the registration drive.

Were this year’s new voters to continue their political participation, they would, it appears, dye California’s politics an even deeper and more permanent shade of blue.

But voter turnout in nonpresidential elections is usually much lower, and younger voters, especially nonwhites, have not had high participation levels in past years.

Thus, the intensity of what happened in California this year may fade in future elections, but there’s no doubt that the long reign of older white voters is coming to an end and that voters in future elections will more closely approximate the state’s diverse socioeconomic and demographic makeup.

Whatever that trend bodes for the state, it nevertheless is a fascinating and historic phenomenon.

Dan Walters is a columnist for the Sacramento Bee. Reach him at dwalters@sacbee.com.

LEAVE A COMMENT

Discussion | 13 comments

The Daily Republic does not necessarily condone the comments here, nor does it review every post. Read our full policy

  • jafNovember 13, 2012 - 6:33 am

    The notion that anyone who is eligible to vote should vote is ridiculous and frightening to those of us who actually pay attention to the news. What does a typical college student who is caught up with his/her studies and partying understand about issues like Benghazzi or for that matter, the national debt? And, please don't tell me that I am being mean for pointing this out. The truth sometimes hurts, but it's still the truth. Typically, the college kids don't pay much in taxes and have generous hearts that bleed with empathy for those less fortunate than themselves. They can't really understand the bigger picture because they don't have much life experience to speak of. Consequently, any of the liberals' schemes to give away huge amounts of food stamps, allow illegals to stay in the country, etc., don't impact them economically yet, so they are all for voting/keeping these Dems. into/in office. Kids (and unfortunately too many older women) don't usually understand that there isn't really a "war on women" just because Republicans think of abortion as murder and want to limit its use as birth control, or that girls/women who are old enough to have sex should be old enough to pay for their own contraception (horrors!) Consequently, our beautiful state, under a solidly Democratic rule, is very soon to be Greece. Come to think of it, a nice riot on a warm evening complaining about how the state isn't able to continue its free stuff for the votes, might be just the thing to take your mind off of your studies!

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • CD BrooksNovember 13, 2012 - 6:42 am

    That is a pathetic condemnation of our youth. You far right thinking is precisely why your party has failed.

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • CD BrooksNovember 13, 2012 - 7:08 am

    ...and furthermore jaf, if you paid attention to what was really going on around the country, you'd have a better understanding of your party politics and their inevitable loss. The majority spoke and both sides need to work together, that is what Americans want. The GOP must regroup and step up to this century's way of thinking or elections in 2014 will destroy them.

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • Tom ChalkNovember 13, 2012 - 8:16 pm

    In 59 Philadelphia precincts: Obama--19,605 votes to Romney's 0! Voter Fraud, anyone? Only the GOP is guilty of that, right?

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • Joe PikeyNovember 13, 2012 - 8:27 pm

    I heard in Pittsburgh there was one vote for Romney, two if you count his dog (which they did)...

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • Danny BuntinNovember 13, 2012 - 9:25 pm

    ::::@Tom: It may look amazing, when told in a sarcastic manner from a right-wing publication, that brings you no context to the subject. After a quick google, I found a link that looked somewhat legitimate, because most of the links I found, turned out to be part of the echo chamber. Here is a neat little fact - "In a city with 1,687 of the ward subsets known as divisions, each with hundreds of voters, 59 is about 3.5 percent of the total." Does not sound so amazing now, does it Tom.

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • rlw895November 13, 2012 - 9:25 pm

    Tom: That seems pretty unlikely. What's your source, and did you fact-check it?

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • Tom ChalkNovember 14, 2012 - 11:34 am

    RLW: By now you have probably discovered that I am not the only one astounded by the Philly votes.. Thank you for pointing out to Mr. Buntin my main point (about the unlikliness of such a result). His response seems to be irrelevant to what I was trying to say, while not refuting my numbers, per se.

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • CD BrooksNovember 14, 2012 - 1:44 pm

    TC, I just did a quick GOOGLE search that led to another and apparently what happened in PA is not unprecedented. In 2008 at some Chicago and Atlanta precincts McCain got zero votes. The information also says these are all black areas being targeted and many feel that is an accurate representation. I don’t know but these stories usually turn out to have a reasonable explanation.

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • Tom ChalkNovember 14, 2012 - 1:55 pm

    CD: Yes, I saw that as well. Probably not rocket science to figure out how it could be possible in those areas. But, c'mon man! Surely some inattentive soul must have mistakenly hit the wrong button somewhere along the way--just one? What happened to his/her vote? Hahahaha!

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • Danny BuntinNovember 13, 2012 - 10:39 am

    In a nut shell, "If you do not agree with me, you should not be allowed to vote". Benghazzi, give me a break.

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • rlw895November 13, 2012 - 9:19 pm

    I see you have a complaint about our system of universal sufferage, jaf. But what do you propose? Only propertied white males who weren't distracted by education get to vote? Seriously, what would you do? Raise the voting age? Give a voter qualification test? Each idea will have its advantages and disadvantages. There is no perfect answer. Welcome to messy democracy.

    Reply | Report abusive comment
  • Danny BuntinNovember 13, 2012 - 9:35 pm

    @rlw895: jaf is not interested in playing by the rules of our Republic anymore. Those rules worked for years, but now the rules need to change because the outcomes are not to his liking. What, are we going to keep changing the rules until jaf gets the results he wants. Like a boy at school on break with his friend playing RockPaperScissors "Best of three, no best of five, wait - best of seven."

    Reply | Report abusive comment
.

Solano News

 
Health officials report 1st Solano flu death

By Kevin W. Green | From Page: A1 | Gallery

 
Fairfield man who says he accidentally kicked woman, faces charges

By Ryan McCarthy | From Page: A5 | Gallery

 
 
American Legion Post schedules head-shaving fundraiser

By Kevin W. Green | From Page: A6

Rush Ranch seeks docents

By Kevin W. Green | From Page: A2

 
Dramas, thrillers lead week’s box office openings

By Amy Maginnis-Honey | From Page: B6

Vacaville Toastmasters welcome guests

By Amy Maginnis-Honey | From Page: A6

 
Kroc Health Fair offers free screenings

By Amy Maginnis-Honey | From Page: A1

 
Chipotle fundraiser to benefit Armijo newspaper

By Amy Maginnis-Honey | From Page: A6

Vacaville council eyes earlier start time

By Ryan McCarthy | From Page:

 
.

US / World

Facebook suffers outage affecting users worldwide

By The Associated Press | From Page:

 
Private wells in California farm area show high uranium

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

Budget for Koch-backed network: almost $1 billion for 2016

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

 
Ex-Army prosecutor found guilty of rape at court-martial

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

California may dam 3 Delta channels, if drought persists

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

 
Law enforcement wants popular police-tracking app disabled

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

Gov’t to overhaul Medicare payments to doctors, hospitals

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

 
Cuban youth build secret computer network despite Wi-Fi ban

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2 | Gallery

Seekers of the Hollywood Sign disrupt nearby neighborhood

By The Associated Press | From Page: A2 | Gallery

 
2 small planes crash-land off Hawaii; all aboard survive

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

Report: State worker sent alarming notes before gun arrest

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2 | Gallery

 
Panic attack, bad back: Theater shooting brings jury excuses

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

Lawyer: Boy Scout files depict ‘sordid’ history of abuse

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

 
Dwindling group of survivors to mark Auschwitz 70 years on

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2 | Gallery

New Jersey’s Christie launches political action committee

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

 
US drone strikes resume in Yemen despite turmoil

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

Monster snowstorm swirls into densely populated Northeast US

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2 | Gallery

 
Kurds celebrate ousting Islamic State fighters from Kobani

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

Man takes responsibility for drone over White House

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2 | Gallery

 
.

Opinion

2 sides to state highways rehab backlog

By Dan Walters | From Page: A11

 
.

Living

Community Calendar: Jan. 27, 2015

By Susan Hiland | From Page: A2

 
.

Entertainment

Petty earns writing credit for Sam Smith’s ‘Stay With Me’

By The Associated Press | From Page: B3

 
National Cowboy Poetry Gathering begins in northeast Nevada

By The Associated Press | From Page: B3

Trainor and Styles write a duet about heartbreak

By The Associated Press | From Page: B3

 
Emma Watson to star in live-action ‘Beauty and the Beast’

By The Associated Press | From Page: B3

 
SAG Awards win sends ‘Birdman’ Oscar hopes soaring

By The Associated Press | From Page: B3

Cumberbatch says sorry for calling black actors ‘colored’

By The Associated Press | From Page: B3

 
A murder at the edge of the world takes ‘Fortitude’ to crack

By The Associated Press | From Page: B3 | Gallery

Lawyers: Melissa Rivers files lawsuit in mother Joan’s death

By The Associated Press | From Page: B3 | Gallery

 
Sundance Watch: ‘Cobain’ premieres, women talk Hollywood

By The Associated Press | From Page: B3

TVGrid Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B7

 
.

Sports

Manfred knows he’ll get hit as commish _ his name is on ball

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1 | Gallery

 
NASCAR to leave championship format unchanged in 2015

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

 
Kobe Bryant to have shoulder surgery, likely out for season

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1 | Gallery

Tim Brown hopes 6th time is charm in Hall of Fame vote

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

 
Raiders sign Charles Woodson for 2015 season

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

Rams notify St. Louis they’ll go year-to-year on dome lease

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

 
Gamecocks still No. 1; Chattanooga joins women’s hoops poll

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

Scott Dixon shines in masterful final drive in Rolex win

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1 | Gallery

 
LeBron, Cavs climb in standings, back in title conversation

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

Capitals among East contenders; West race too tight to call

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

 
Playoff not interested in moving semis of New Year’s Eve

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

Fireworks help celebrate Venus Williams’ Australian Open run

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

 
US women to host New Zealand, Ireland, Mexico, South Korea

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

NBA D-League All-Star events set for Feb. 15 in Brooklyn

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

 
AP Source: Los Angeles Kings release Mike Richards

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

Hope Solo could be left off US World Cup roster

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1 | Gallery

 
.

Business

Employers: Agreement made on key issue in port labor dispute

By The Associated Press | From Page: B4

 
Lyft cars doing away with pink furry mustache

By The Associated Press | From Page: B4

California draws $3.2 billion in federal health subsidies

By The Associated Press | From Page: B4

 
Hard Rock (again) dips toe into Atlantic City casino market

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

US stock market finishes with small gains

By The Associated Press | From Page: B4

 
IBM disputes report that big layoffs coming

By The Associated Press | From Page: B4

Union says California Kaiser nurses reach contract agreement

By The Associated Press | From Page: B4

 
Boeing, SpaceX will beat Russia on price for astronaut rides

By The Associated Press | From Page: B4 | Gallery

CBO: Deficit to shrink to lowest level of Obama presidency

By The Associated Press | From Page: B4

 
Eurozone looks for dialogue after stunning Greece elections

By The Associated Press | From Page: B4

S&P downgrades Russia credit rating to junk

By The Associated Press | From Page: B4

 
.

Obituaries

Donald Wesley Johnson

By Susan Hiland | From Page: A4

 
.

Comics

Rose is Rose Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

 
Get Fuzzy Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

Beetle Bailey Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

 
B.C. Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

Cryptoquote Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B5

 
For Better or Worse Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

Dilbert Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

 
Bridge Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B5

Garfield Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

 
Crossword Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B5

Baby Blues Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

 
Pickles Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

Sally Forth Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

 
Baldo Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

Wizard of Id Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

 
Word Sleuth Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B5

Frank and Ernest Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

 
Sudoku Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B5

Blondie Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

 
Zits Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

Peanuts Jan 27

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4