Thursday, November 20, 2014
FAIRFIELD-SUISUN, CALIFORNIA
99 CENTS

Weather forecasters weigh change after Sandy

Web_OurView_YourView

By
From page A8 | December 11, 2012 |

The weather-forecasting industry has been lit up for the better part of a month now debating whether lives were lost because hurricane warnings were not issued in the final days before Superstorm Sandy hit the Northeast.

At issue was that the storm was transitioning into a “post-tropical cyclone” before it would make landfall, and the National Hurricane Center in Miami is supposed to issue warnings only for tropical weather.

In fact, no hurricane warnings were ever issued for Sandy on the U.S. coast; tropical storm warnings accompanied the massive system’s progress up the seaboard as far as North Carolina, then ceased the morning of Monday, Oct. 29.

But the NHC continued to put out written advisories and warning graphics about “Hurricane Sandy” all that day and night. It repeatedly laid out the prospects for winds stronger than 74 miles an hour and deadly storm surge. At 5 p.m., the last hurricane bulletin warned: “Landfall expected early this evening accompanied by life-threatening storm surge and hurricane-force winds.”

Other than the effects of the 900-mile-wide storm being felt a few hours sooner and over some wider inland areas, the forecasts from days before matched remarkably with reality. By 11 p.m. “Post-Tropical Cyclone Sandy” – at least its center – was over New Jersey and the NHC turned forecasting over to the Weather Service’s flood-prediction center and local weather offices.

Would people along the coast been any better prepared or more likely to evacuate if hurricane warnings had been issued for Sandy, as they were for Hurricane Irene the year before? It’s hard to say just what motivates people to react: Past experience, family needs, economics and many other things besides warnings play a role. Perhaps some local officials might have been more aggressive about getting more people out of low-lying areas.

The criticism, coming mostly from private forecasters, has prompted the Weather Service to consider using new, looser criteria for issuing warnings when hurricane-force conditions are expected in a particular area no matter whether the source is tropical cyclone or some other type of cyclone. At the same time, the Weather Service continues looking for ways to make all severe-weather warnings simpler and more relevant to the people who need to react to them.

Scripps Howard News Service

LEAVE A COMMENT

Discussion | 1 comment

The Daily Republic does not necessarily condone the comments here, nor does it review every post. Read our full policy

.

Solano News

 
Solano cheerleaders travel to NYC for holiday parade

By Susan Winlow | From Page: A1 | Gallery

Let’s honor veterans throughout year

By Mayrene Bates | From Page: A2

 
 
Suisun City Hall critic takes town to task over residential ‘junkyard’

By Ian Thompson | From Page: A3Comments are off for this post

 
Lawyers outline strategy in Fairfield homicide case

By Jess Sullivan | From Page: A3

 
NAACP chapter to conduct officer elections

By Susan Winlow | From Page: A4

 
 
Sport Chalet offers underwater photos with Santa

By Susan Hiland | From Page: B5

Nut Tree to donate vintage barn doors to ReStore

By Susan Winlow | From Page: B5

 
Weather for Nov. 20, 2014

By Daily Republic | From Page: B10

Fairfield police log: Nov. 18, 2014

By Susan Hiland | From Page: A10

 
Suisun City police log: Nov. 18, 2014

By Susan Hiland | From Page: A10, 5 Comments

.

US / World

Analyst: No ‘fiscal cliff’ when tax hikes end

By The Associated Press | From Page: A1

 
Tuition hikes tentatively approved in California

By The Associated Press | From Page: A1, 1 Comment

Police: Gunman killed after shooting at FSU

By The Associated Press | From Page: A1 | Gallery

 
Obama to announce immigration action Thursday

By The Associated Press | From Page: A1, 42 Comments

Cuban couple keeps rodents called hutias as pets

By The Associated Press | From Page: A2, 1 Comment

 
Self-driving cars: safer, but what of their morals

By The Associated Press | From Page: A4, 2 Comments

5 children in San Jose home with barricade man

By The Associated Press | From Page: A4

 
Berkeley OKs plan for gas-pump climate change labels

By The Associated Press | From Page: A4

First of 3 storms douses fields, delays flights

By The Associated Press | From Page: A4

 
Right-to-die advocate’s video out after death

By The Associated Press | From Page: A5, 4 Comments

Early statin use may give long-term heart benefits

By The Associated Press | From Page: A5

 
Health system reveals hospital gown to cover rears

By The Associated Press | From Page: A5, 1 Comment

Police: Man crawled into sunken car, saved baby

By The Associated Press | From Page: A5, 3 Comments

 
CDC chief drops worst-case Ebola estimate

By The Associated Press | From Page: A5

Vets’ moms to Congress: Boost suicide prevention

By The Associated Press | From Page: A5, 1 Comment

 
Buffalo area hit with epic snow – with more coming

By The Associated Press | From Page: A5, 1 Comment

US airstrike hits al-Qaida-held town in Syria

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6

 
Hotel charges couple for negative review of it

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6

New US ambassador has tough job in Moscow

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6

 
Military leader becomes Burkina Faso prime minster

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6, 1 Comment

CERN scientists discover 2 new subatomic particles

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6

 
Kerry in diplomatic overdrive on Iran nuclear deal

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6

N. Korea threatens to beef up military capability

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6, 1 Comment

 
Colombian girl’s dad had her swallow cocaine caps

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6, 1 Comment

New Kurdish offensive targets Islamic State group

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6

 
.

Opinion

 
Gambling on Proposition 47

By Kelvin Wade | From Page: A7, 5 Comments

How and why the GOP won

By Jennifer Rubin | From Page: A7, 14 Comments

 
.

Living

Today in History: Nov. 20, 2014

By The Associated Press | From Page: A2

 
Community Calendar: Nov. 20, 2014

By Susan Hiland | From Page: A2

My lady’s mother doesn’t like me and wants me to move out

By Kathy Mitchell and Marcy Sugar | From Page: A9

 
Horoscopes: Nov. 20, 2014

By Holiday Mathis | From Page: A9

.

Entertainment

TVGrid

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

 
Library honoring Billy Joel with pop music prize

By The Associated Press | From Page: B4

Motown singer Jimmy Ruffin dies at age 78

By The Associated Press | From Page: B4

 
Multiple fractures for Bono in NY bicycle accident

By The Associated Press | From Page: B4

Auction of Presley items set for January

By The Associated Press | From Page: B4

 
.

Sports

 
Brooks apologizes to 49ers for harsh words

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

Chiefs look to avoid letdown vs. winless Raiders

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

 
Carrie, Rogers out for Raiders with injuries

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

Butler and A’s finalize $30 million, 3-year deal

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

 
Rudy Gay happy to be with Sacramento Kings

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

Union, NFL at odds over personal conduct policy

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

 
NBA suspends Hornets’ Jeffery Taylor 24 games

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

Stanton signs record $325M deal at news conference

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

 
Nothing settled going into LPGA Tour finale

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

 
Collins, NBA’s 1st openly gay player, to retire

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

NFL fines Lynch $50,000 for not speaking to media

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

 
NASCAR’s Kurt Busch meets with investigators

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

.

Business

Showdown looms between US gov’t, air bag maker

By The Associated Press | From Page: B5

 
Obama picks NTSB member as new auto safety chief

By The Associated Press | From Page: B5

JetBlue to add bag fees on cheapest tickets

By The Associated Press | From Page: B5, 1 Comment

 
US stocks drift lower after release of Fed minutes

By The Associated Press | From Page: B5

Automakers debut key models at L.A. Auto Show

By The Associated Press | From Page: B5

 
Yahoo replaces Google as Firefox’s default search

By The Associated Press | From Page: B5, 1 Comment

.

Obituaries

.

Comics

Get Fuzzy

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

 
Baby Blues

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

Zits

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

 
Rose is Rose

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

Pickles

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

 
For Better or Worse

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

Blondie

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

 
Frank and Ernest

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

Peanuts

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

 
Baldo

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

Wizard of Id

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

 
Garfield

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

Sally Forth

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

 
B.C.

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

Dilbert

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

 
Beetle Bailey

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A8

Bridge

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A9

 
Word Sleuth

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A9

Sudoku

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A9

 
Crossword

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A9

Cryptoquote

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A9