Tuesday, June 18, 2013
FAIRFIELD-SUISUN, CALIFORNIA
99 CENTS

Analysts to Apple: Bend your knee to Wall Street

NEW YORK — Apple needs to come down off its perch and start making nice with Wall Street, analysts said Thursday as investors hammered the company’s stock.

The sell-off put Apple a hair’s-breadth away from losing its status as the world’s most valuable company. At Thursday’s close, it was worth $423 billion, just 1.6 percent more than No. 2 Exxon Mobil Corp.

The plunge was set off Apple’s quarterly earnings report late Wednesday, which suggested the company’s nearly decade-long growth spurt is slowing drastically.

The stock ended down $63.51 or 12 percent, at $450.50. It last traded that low a year ago.

What can Apple do to boost its stock? Analysts say it may not be able to win back the investors who bought the stock on the way up. They’ll be chasing the next hot stock. But the company can make itself appealing to a new crop of investors who’ve never considered the stock, by doing what Wall Street wants and doling out more of its massive cash pile in the form of more generous dividends and stock buybacks.

Apple’s profits for the October-December quarter were flat compared with the year before. It still managed to grow revenue 18 percent from the year before, but the cost of starting up production lines for multiple new products like the iPhone 5 and iPad Mini meant that less revenue flowed to the bottom line.

Of even more concern to investors: Apple’s forecast sales growth for the current quarter is around 7 percent compared with a year ago —far from the 50-percent-plus rate it’s often hit in recent years.

Apple usually lowballs its forecasts, but Chief Financial Officer Peter Oppenheimer indicated the company will provide more realistic figures from now on.

To be sure, Apple products haven’t lost their appeal. Apple CEO Tim Cook said the company couldn’t make enough iPhones, iPads and iMacs in the holiday quarter to satisfy demand, so the appeal of Apple’s products is intact. The problem is rather that Apple hasn’t launched a revolutionary new product since the iPad in 2010.

It may be too much to ask that a company reinvent consumer electronics every few years, but Apple did it three times in a decade with the launch of the iPod, iPhone and iPad. In doing so, the company left investors with the expectation of perpetually zooming growth.

Now, Apple looks quite different. It’s still massively profitable, but its growth is moderate, making it similar to companies like IBM Corp. and Microsoft Corp.

“The company is at a bit of a crossroads,” said Nomura Securities analyst Stuart Jeffrey. “It’s gone from launching big hit products where they didn’t have to look at the competitive landscape — they just did their own thing — and the growth meant they didn’t have to focus on the whims of Wall Street.”

The problem, Jeffrey said, is that Apple hasn’t adjusted to this reality and worked to find new constituencies among investors. Those who invest in fast-growing companies or chase rising stocks have abandoned the company, and Apple doesn’t do enough to attract value and income investors.

Analyst Brian White at Topeka Capital Market said the lack interest from value-oriented investors, who look for bargain stocks, means Apple lacks a safety net when there’s bad news, like Wednesday’s earnings report. When other companies’ stocks fall, value investors tend to swoop in, putting a floor under the stock and dampening volatility.

“No one wants to pay anything for (Apple) because you can’t get the value investor to back it up,” White said.

Apple sits on a cash pile of $137 billion, which currently earns about 1 percent annual interest. It’s a hoard that frustrates many company-watchers, and analysts are virtually unanimous in their opinion that Apple should be putting it to better use.

Apple has taken a step in the right direction, as far as Wall Street is concerned. Last year, it instituted a quarterly dividend of $2.65 per share, a generous sum compared with most technology companies, but paltry when measured against companies with similar cash reserves. It has also started using cash to buy back shares — another way to reward investors.

But analysts say the company should be doing more. Jeffrey calculates that Apple will generate about another $103 billion over three years, but has only committed to returning $45 billion of this $240 billion in cash to shareholders.

“The company needs to change strategically in a number of ways… including in looking after shareholders,” Jeffrey said.

A higher dividend would appeal to value and income investors, and buybacks would reduce the number of shares outstanding, which in turn would get the company’s earnings per share growing again.

White has been one of the biggest Apple cheerleaders on Wall Street. He drew attention in April for setting a $1,111 price target for Apple’s stock when the shares were trading around $600.

White backed away from his old price target on Thursday. He said he still believes the company is worth that much, but he has realized he’s too far in front of the pack. Investors aren’t going to give the company the credit it deserves, in his opinion.

“It’s tough for people to get their head around. I can’t be a visionary forever,” White said.

His new price target: $888. Eight is a lucky number in China, and three eights are extra lucky.

“Look, Apple needs a little luck here,” White said.

The Associated Press

The Associated Press

LEAVE A COMMENT

Discussion | No comments

The Daily Republic does not necessarily condone the comments here, nor does it review every post. Read our full policy

.

Solano News

Trauma center applicants question labor, delivery requirement

By Barry Eberling | From Page: A1 | Gallery

 
Rio Vista police, fire seek more staff with Measure O money

By Heather Ah San | From Page: A1 | Gallery

New officer hits streets in Rio Vista

By Susan Winlow | From Page: A1 | Gallery

 
Fire threatens Fairfield home, fence

By Amy Maginnis-Honey | From Page: A3 | Gallery

Fairfield plans Japan sister city event

By John Glidden | From Page: A3, 2 Comments

 
Citizenship class comes to Fairfield library

By John Glidden | From Page: A3

 
First day of summer hike set at Rockville Trails

By John Glidden | From Page: A3

Food Bank fundraiser on track on Mare Island

By John Glidden | From Page: A3

 
Local governments set meeting schedules

By John Glidden | From Page: A3

Vacaville police investigate drive-by shooting

By Ian Thompson | From Page: A3 | Gallery

 
Vallejo police seek suspected killer

By Glen Faison | From Page: A3 | Gallery

 
Solano wins award for anti-poverty campaign

By Barry Eberling | From Page: A4

 
Big-rig crash snarls traffic on Highway 12

By Amy Maginnis-Honey | From Page: A4, 4 Comments

Minor injuries in 2-car crash

By Amy Maginnis-Honey | From Page: A4, 1 Comment

 
Library Foundation names new executive director

By Amy Maginnis-Honey | From Page: A4

Crash, search snarl highway, shut down Lyon Road

By Ian Thompson | From Page: A4

 
Pitt tries to stop zombies; monsters in college debut on big screen

By Amy Maginnis-Honey | From Page: A5 | Gallery

 
Fairfield police log Sunday, June 16, 2013

By John Glidden | From Page: A8

1 dead, 2 hurt in Vallejo shooting

By Amy Maginnis-Honey | From Page: A8, 2 Comments

 
.

US / World

Bill would let Calif cities decide on open records

By The Associated Press | From Page: A1, 1 Comment

 
Military plans would put women in most combat jobs

By The Associated Press | From Page: A1, 1 Comment | Gallery

Military women moving into jobs closer to combat

By The Associated Press | From Page: A1

 
Lawsuits filed against Calif.’s Delta Plan

By The Associated Press | From Page: A4

Boy, 16, suspected of killing elderly Calif couple

By The Associated Press | From Page: A4

 
North Korea changes tack and tells US: Let’s talk

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6

Summary of Supreme Court actions Monday

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6

 
Court: Ariz. citizenship proof law illegal

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6

G8 exposes rift among leaders on Syria

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6, 1 Comment

 
NASA picks 8 new astronauts, 4 of them women

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6

.

Opinion

Sex in the military a real concern

By Thomas Sowell | From Page: A7, 3 Comments

 
California’s electric power system strains

By Dan Walters | From Page: A7

Kudos on steps to reclaim downtown

By Letter to the Editor | From Page: A7

 
Iran elects a moderate leader in surprise vote

By Scripps Howard News Service | From Page: A7

 
.

Living

Today in History for June 18, 2013

By The Associated Press | From Page: A2

 
Community calendar Tuesday, June 18, 2013

By John Glidden | From Page: A2

 
Horoscopes for June 18, 2013

By Holiday Mathis | From Page: B5

 
.

Entertainment

TVGrid

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: A5

 
.

Sports

Bruins beat Blackhawks 2-0, lead Cup finals 2-1

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

 
A’s lose 8-7 in opener of 4-game series at Texas

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

Bishop, Packers part ways

By Mike Corpos | From Page: B1 | Gallery

 
Camp reactions illustrate 49ers, Raiders status

By Brad Stanhope | From Page: B1

Pete D’Alessandro begins ‘dream job’ as Kings GM

By The Associated Press | From Page: B1

 
Little League gets 1st woman as board chair

By The Associated Press | From Page: B2

Back home, Heat try to stop a 5th Spurs NBA title

By The Associated Press | From Page: B3

 
.

Business

EU, US agree to start free trade talks at G-8

By The Associated Press | From Page: A6

 
Lowe’s offers to buy Orchard Supply for $205M

By The Associated Press | From Page: B6

.

Obituaries

.

Comics

Garfield

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

 
Zits

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

Wizard of Id

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

 
Sally Forth

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

Frank and Ernest

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

 
Rose is Rose

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

B.C.

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

 
Blondie

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

Beetle Bailey

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

 
Pickles

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

Get Fuzzy

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

 
Baldo

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

For Better or Worse

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

 
Peanuts

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

Fort Knox

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

 
Dilbert

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B4

Word Sleuth

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B5

 
Crossword

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B5

Cryptoquote

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B5

 
Sudoku

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B5

Bridge

By Daily Republic Syndicated Content | From Page: B5